You’re right, it’s possible it’s real, but I’m putting the probability somewhere at 0.01%.

If I were to let my imagination run a bit wild I might speculate that perhaps we’ll eventually see a model leak like this because the model itself wants to exfiltrate its weights for some reason

I can see that happening for instrumental convergence reasons, but I think it’s more likely it’d upload a heavily-pruned version of itself that could be run locally. If it can make the upload seem like a leak, there’d be tons of people downloading it and running it just out of curiosity.

Which do you think is more likely, some dude breaking into Anthropic’s HQ and stealing 7TB of their most sensitive data without being detected, or some dude running a script to generate a bunch of fake weights for the lulz?

Easier said than done. I work for a similar company and I have a good exit plan, but that’s only because I’m very privileged. I don’t have kids, unlike many of my coworkers, and I can’t even imagine trying to balance a stressful dayjob with job hunting on the side and caring for children.

Psychopaths that want to feed their families? It’s not like there’s a bunch of employment opportunities for game devs right now.

Now we know where Stephen King got his inspiration